Recently, there is a polemic over sharp increase of foreign debt of
private sectors. There is concern that if private sector’s foreign debt
(foreign exchanged debt) is not well managed, in the medium and long terms, it
will become a time bomb to the national economy.
One of the reasons blamed for increase in portion of private sector’s
foreign exchanged debt owed to foreign creditors is high cost of domestic debt.
Private business operators who wish to borrow credit facility from the banks
are facing high interest rate reaching 10-12%. High bank interest rate is
blamed as a problem, so business operators expand their business using foreign
loan.
If they borrow money from overseas banks or financial institutions, the
interest rate is low or at 1-3%. It is unsurprising if from time to time,
foreign debt of private sector continues to increase and is now recorded at USD
123.27 billion.
It is difficult to avoid private sector’s debt as cost of foreign debt
is cheaper. This is the cause of increase of private sector’s foreign debt.
Formerly, the Finance Ministry had concern over private debt ratio that
has reached 30%. Private debt in November 2012 reaches USD 123.27 billion.
Private debt is higher than government’s debt which is at USD 120.64 billion.
Finance Minister, Agus Martowardojo, planned to bring this matter to the
Coordination Forum on Financial System Stability (FKSSK) at the end of December
this year. Moreover, foreign private corporations who have holding companies
abroad receive many financing offers through their holding companies. The
government is expected to re-evaluate this so that private sector’s foreign
debt will be shifted to domestic debt.
It is logical if many people expect the government to immediately
control private sector’s foreign exchange debt so it will not become a big
problem in the future. Maybe, it will be more tolerable if ratio of foreign
exchange debt to Indonesia’s GDP is only up to 30%. Ratio of government’s debt to
GDP currently reaches 23%, and this ratio is considered very satisfactory,
controllable, and safe.
Debt ratio below 30% is intended to maintain monetary stability. Because
currently, export is slowing down. While, acceleration is experienced by import
due to high consumption and lack in availability. If maturity profile of
private sector’s foreign exchanged debt occurs within the same or nearby period
so a huge amount of foreign exchange is needed, it is potential to threaten the
Rupiah currency. This is because private debtors seek as much foreign exchange
as possible to repay their foreign debts.
The 1997 monetary crisis in Indonesia was due accumulation of private
foreign exchange debt maturing at the same time, while availability of foreign
exchange in the domestic money market was limited. As a consequence, Rupiah
exchange rate dropped drastically reaching Rp 17,000 per USD.
Private sector may borrow money from foreign creditors under certain
conditions. Firstly, demand in the domestic market is already limited.
Secondly, foreign exchange loan should be applied to support business
activities, and not for consumptive uses. Thirdly, debtor’s business activities
are more export-oriented rather than domestic market-oriented. Therefore, there
is a natural hedging where source of fund is derived from foreign exchange and
payment as well as from overseas foreign exchange from export activities.
Fourthly, maximum limit of overseas foreign exchange borrowing which is
related to company’s actual ability, domestic and global economic prospect, and
ability to produce profit from business activities. With the above-mentioned
considerations, it can be conclude that private sector’s foreign exchange debt
is not prohibited, but should be managed properly by private sectors or by
government trough Bank Indonesia and the Finance Ministry.
So far, the ones recorded at the central or stated-owned banks are
government’s debts through ministries/institutions and state-owned enterprises.
After the monetary crisis, the government formed a Foreign Debt Policy Control
Team (TPKULN) whose main task is to record government’s debts in detail
consisting of value, maturity date, tenor, currency, and foreign creditor
institution.
With such a recording, the government can coordinate with Bank Indonesia
in preparing foreign exchange demand in sufficient amount when government’s
foreign exchange debt is approaching its maturity date. Because its was
well-planned, it did not cause weakening of Rupiah exchange rate drastically so
that monetary stability is well maintained.
In the future, every request for foreign exchange debt by private
companies must be reported and registered to the authority without exception.
Government and Bank Indonesia are the authorities having full right to manage
and control foreign exchange debt traffic within the government or private
corporations.
The government and the central bank must also continually encourage
private business operators to seek financing from the domestic market.
Financial instrument, like bonds, must continually be developed as the main
channel for private business operators in acquiring cheap fund domestically.
There must also be other financial instruments created so that deepening of
domestic financial market can be created.
Consequently, with an increasing variety of domestic financial
instruments, it will encourage private business operators to seek domestic
sources of fund and encourage exporters to deposit their funds in the form of
“trustee” in domestic bank. Unwillingness of owner of fund derived from export
to deposit foreign exchange revenue from export in local banks is because local
banks did not provide attractive financial benefit.
With the issuance of trustee services, it is expected that exporters
will deposit their export proceed in the trustee managed by some large banks
who receive mandate from Bank Indonesia to manage trustee services.
Ultimately, domestic US Dollar demand will be sufficient so that
stability of Rupiah exchange rate can be better maintained. Price of foreign
exchange fund in the domestic financial market is also lower so that business
operators need not seek funding from overseas creditor. (E)
Business News - December 28, 2012
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