All the hassles in
Indonesia’s economy lately opened opportunity for speculators. One of the
indicators of economic weakening was nose-diving of currency exchange rate
value. Fluctuation of Rupiah exchange rate value against USD was getting
steeper time after time.
There was general perception that each time there was
unrest in currency exchange rate, there was bound to be some speculators who
were taking advantage of the situation. To illustrate speculators cleans weep
USD when the price came to Rp 9,500 per USD. The dollars were hedged while
waiting for another opportunity. Speculators might even spread rumors to make
the public panic.
As people’s panic heightened, price of USD tuned more
expensive. That was the time they release their USD at Rp 10,000.- per Dollar.
All in all they reaped profit of Rp 500 per USD. It was easy to imagine how
speculators make profit in a split second from changing exchange rate.
One thinkable way to neutralize speculative attitude was
by inducing nationalistic sentiment. It was about time to stop speculators from
taking excessive profit by changing habit of the money market into constructive
paradigm. Speculators must be made aware that the monetary advantage they were
enjoying was obtained at the cost of disadvantage to national economy which in
the end would backlash on them through inflation etc. There would be more
people who suffer inducing the speculators themselves.
Before Rupiah exchange rate value touched the Rp 11,000.-
level BI had made maneuvers to rescue Rupiah. Among the measures taken was to
increase BI’s benchmark rate. The objective was to control inflation and
pressures on Rupiah could be eased. Although the direct effect was not visible,
at least BI’s step had helped to ease panic in the market.
The only thing was that chain effect of increased BI rate
was inevitable as banks were preparing to adjust their credit interest in the
near future. They argued that if credit interest was not increased, the profit
level would be reduced by increasing cost. It seemed reasonable that the
Indonesian Chamber of Commerce [KADIN] had pled banks at home to sacrifice to
restore domestic economic adverse condition.
Sacrifice of the banking sector could be implemented by
way of increasing fixed deposit interest without increasing credit interest.
Banks operating in Indonesia tend to make big profit.
National economy was not in the state of good health, so if the remedy tend to
be painful, banks should try to cope with it. Meaning if they were pled not to
increase credit interest to push national economic growth, it was a sacrifice
worthy of appreciation.
To the Government it was recommended to encourage
companies whose capacity was good to increase export procedures and giving them
soft loan for strengthening capital. KADIN also proposed to set up a service
center to help companies having difficulties in applying for business permit.
It was even proposed to set up a crisis center of complaint center if deemed
necessary.
KADIN was ready to set up a complaint center provided
that the Government would help in terms of permit issuance. Ease in doing
business for exporters was expected to step up export and increase employment
opportunities at home.
KADIN reminded the Government it might be necessary for the
Government tighten waist belt after announcing the Four sided Economic
condition at home, which was believed to be necessary.
The Government must be able to restrict oil-gas
importing, dependency on imported raw materials and import of luxurious goods
not related to industry and not related to public need. Indonesia’s condition
today was like a patient not just suffering from flu but also other
complications like stroke and heart attack, so comprehensive treatment was
called for.
The Government was also reminded that to tighten waist
belt could be by way of minimizing travel expenses for Government officials and
minimizing use of technology for less important teleconferences. To make more
for ex, the Government was advised to aggressively launch promotion for tourism
which was highly potential.
Arrival procedures for foreign tourists should be made easy
not just in Jakarta and Bali but also in other regions. A small country like
Singapore could coin around USD 5 billion per year from Indonesian citizens to
come to Singapore to shop or to get medical treatment. Indonesia treasured
abundant natural resources and rich heritage which could serve as tourist
destination whether for culinary tourism, cultural tourism etc.
Business News - September 6, 2013
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