Realization of economic growth
in 2012 last was satisfactorily attained, i.e. 6.23%, below its ideal level et
6.5% as excepted. Somehow it was quite a relief because it was still not below
6%.
Domestic consumption was
again the main contributor, sharing about 55'% followed by formation of gross
fixed capital (PMTB) of physical investment of around 33%. Next was. contributed
by Government spending around 9%; not bad, because the percentage was growing.
The disheartening thing was
export contribution (24%) which was outnumbered by import (25%) which caused
deficit in trade transaction. This was a tragedy because in the previous years the
score was surplus. It seemed reasonable that the Government must think hard to jack
up growth from the export and investment side.
Lately, the Government
again paid greeter attention to the global crisis which was beginning to suppress
domestic economy. Two facades which were the locus of Government's attention
was to jack up investment and export performance. The seriousness was implemented
by formation of the National Team for Export Promotion and Investment (PEPI)
personally commanded by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.
This serious attention was
reasonable because according to the Central Board of Statistics the GDP the
amount used for buying export component according to the applicable price - was
only posited at 24-25%; on the contrary import was higher, i.e. 25.81 % which
caused deficit to happen.
Meanwhile expenditure for household
consumption was posted at 54.56%, component of Government consumption
expenditure 8.89%, and component of gross fixed capital formation or physical investment
33.16%. In 2012 Indonesia’s GDP based on applicable price was posted at Rp.8,241
trillion, whilst an constant price basis (year 2000) was Rp 2,618,1 trillion.
For comparison, Indonesia's GDP 201 1 based on applicable price was Rp. 7,427,1
trillion, and based on constant price (year 2000) was Rp 2,462.2 trillion.
Under the circumstances the
Government hard formed the national PEPI team by President Susilo Bambang
Yudhoyono with the Coordinating Minister of Economy as executive. The Government
would also set up a Secretariat to foster teamwork. The special team for export
Promotion and investment would be supported by ministerial unit to enhance task
execution.
This team, in the
coordination meeting would dissect promotion of export and investment, to analyze
problem and to recommend strategic steps in relation to export and investment.
Export problems in the regions would be detected while the Government would
Regional PEPI (PEPIDA).
Evaluation of the Investment Negative List (DNI)
which was in Indonesia would be part of the task to be carried out by PEPI team.
This was done to enhance investment climate in Indonesia. Heed of the
Coordinating Board of Investment (BKPM), Chatib Basri stated that revision of
DNI was necessary to strengthen national competitiveness and create batter
investment climate so the target of Rp 300 trillion investment could be met.
Heed of BKPM confirmed that
revision of DNI was exercised while protecting national interest, especially for
the smell-and-medium business (UKM) so they would be able to compete against
foreign businesspeople and investors. The entry of foreigners to Indonesia did
not mean that there was no room for Indonesian businesspeople to develop.
The national PEPI teem was
expected to spur on export and domestic investment. The point was that an the
export side, the biggest problem was readiness of the alternative market which
was not sizable enough and therefore unable to cushion deficit in trade balance
and to increase export. To solve the problem, the team must be able to solve
the problem by seeking alternative markets beyond the traditional export
market.
On the other hand, today
Investment was showing improvement in tandem with bettered global economy.
However, in regard to quality improvement of economic growth, the PEP team must
be able to direct investment to productive sectors as the multiplier effect was
notably great. The team must be able to bring investment to productive sectors
as the multiplier effect was notably great. The team must be able to bring
investment into the tradable sector.
In spite of cynical remarks
about the national PEPI team lead by President SBY which was regarded as
unnecessary although it was substantially important the team must be able to
elimininate the doubt. As known there were some circles who feared that PEPI
which was meant to jack up export and national investment might trigger frictions
at ministerial level. Questions arose: was the formation of PEPI caused by
discontent of Ministry's performance so the focus was vague? Moreover toward
the General Election, the cabinet tend to be booing compactness.
In order to jack up expert
and promote investment, in fact in was enough to foster coordination under the
Coordinating Minister of Economy. There were also who rated that the function
of PEPI was inefficient and costly. So it should be better to maximize the
function of the existing instruments because the ministers were supposed to
have fully understood their respective roles.
On the contrary there were
those who believed that the PEPI team was the right thing as a measure to invigorate
investment and export. The slowdown of economic growth in 2012 wee among others
on account of lowered national export. On the other hand investment policy at
central level and regional level seamed not to be in synchronous.
About export, the effort to
promote was not a simple matter because basically Indonesia's export highly
depended on buyer countries especially European states and the USA, while
economic crisis in those two countries seemed unending. It became indispensable
to seek for new export market beside Europe and the USA.
To promote export it was necessary to uplift
production in terms of quality as well as quantity which was also necessary to
be supported by sound infra structure such as toll roads to transport export
commodities to harbors in the main cities like Jakarta. The traffic jams in
Jakarta could hindrance export process. Queue in harbors is among the problems
to be cracked.
Meanwhile in 2015 next the
ASEAN Community would be underway which means competition in international
trading would heighten. Unfortunately Indonesia seemed not too ready for the
competition compared to other ASEAN states. About investment, it seemed that this
year there was potential slowdown especially in the real sector due to high
minimum provincial wages (UMP) and residential minimum wages (UMK).
The notably high UMP in
Jakarta, Bogor and Bekasi made investors hesitate to enter, and yet low wages
used to be the reason for investors to enter. The policy in the provinces in
determining UMK seemed not synchronous with the investment promotion plan. So
the Government was expected to reform to make everyone happy in the spirt on
Win Win solution.
Not less important was that
the presence of PEPI did not have to disregard the role of the existing
institutions. Previously there was already the National Export Development
Board (BPEN) and the Coordinating Board of Investment (BKPM). If any new team
was formed they should coordinate effectively with the existing bodies. In case
of failure in making coordination, anxiety of certain circles could be true
that the formation of a new team would but cause inefficiency. Hopefully this
was not true.
Business News - February 22,2013
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