Tuesday, 23 September 2025

INDONESIA’S GREEN AMBITIONS UNDER PRABOWO : BETWEEN GLOBAL PLEDGES AND DOMESTIC CHALLENGES

By KUSNANDAR & CO., Attorneys at Law – Jakarta, INDONESIA

 

President Prabowo Subianto’s address at the 80th United Nations General Assembly delivered a bold message: Indonesia is ready to take real steps—beyond slogans—in confronting climate change. Highlighting the country’s status as the world’s largest archipelagic nation, he pointed to the annual five-centimeter rise in sea levels along Jakarta’s northern coast as a tangible threat, justifying the construction of a massive 480-kilometer sea wall projected to take 20 years to complete.

 

Prabowo’s speech outlined a broad vision: accelerating the transition to renewable energy, committing to the Paris Agreement, reaching net-zero emissions by 2060 (or sooner), reforesting over 12 million hectares of degraded land, and empowering local communities with green jobs. He stated that starting next year, most of Indonesia’s new power generation capacity will come from renewable sources. Moreover, he promised that Indonesia would become a global solution hub for food, energy, and water security.

 

These are compelling goals and they place Indonesia in a forward-looking position within international climate diplomacy. However, as with any grand vision presented on the global stage, the true measure lies in how those commitments are implemented at home. In this respect, a growing gap between ambition and execution threatens to undermine the credibility of Indonesia’s pledges.

 

Indonesia’s legal and policy frameworks on climate and energy have yet to demonstrate the level of integration and urgency required. While regulatory instruments such as Presidential Regulation No. 112/2022 on renewable energy provide direction, implementation has been plagued by institutional fragmentation, slow permitting processes, and a lack of clear incentives for investors. The dominance of the state-owned utility PLN and the absence of market-based pricing models for renewable energy continue to be significant deterrents to private investment.

 

Forest governance faces similar challenges. Past reforestation and peatland restoration initiatives have suffered from overlapping land claims, weak law enforcement, and limited accountability mechanisms. Prabowo’s pledge to reforest 12 million hectares is a positive step, but without structural reforms in land use policy, agrarian conflict resolution, and monitoring systems, it risks being another target that looks good on paper but lacks impact in the field.

 

Moreover, while Prabowo frames climate action as a route to poverty reduction and national resilience, his administration inherits unresolved weaknesses in Indonesia’s food system. Agricultural productivity remains stagnant, and reliance on food imports continues despite repeated rhetoric of food sovereignty. Large-scale land conversion for infrastructure and industry further reduces the availability of arable land. In this context, food security cannot be decoupled from climate and energy policy. A coherent, cross-sectoral strategy is urgently needed.

 

From a legal standpoint, Indonesia also lacks a centralized climate institution with real enforcement authority. Climate-related policies remain scattered across ministries, often resulting in contradictory or redundant initiatives. A new institutional model—such as a presidentially mandated climate council with legal authority and oversight capacity—may be necessary to streamline implementation, monitor progress, and ensure transparency. Legal instruments must also be strengthened to improve data disclosure, guarantee community participation, and enhance compliance.

 

Execution also demands political will, bureaucratic coordination, and fiscal prioritization. Many of the goals Prabowo laid out are multi-decade projects that require long-term planning across successive administrations. This raises questions about governance continuity, especially in a system where program fragmentation and political cycles often disrupt momentum. It is essential that Indonesia’s climate strategy is institutionalized through robust laws and not left to the discretion of changing leadership.

 

The international community may welcome Indonesia’s renewed commitment, but the domestic audience—especially those in vulnerable sectors—remains more concerned with delivery than diplomacy. Real progress will be judged not by applause at the UN, but by tangible improvements in environmental quality, economic opportunity, and institutional performance.

 

President Prabowo’s speech was rhetorically effective and globally attuned. But if Indonesia is to fulfill its promise of becoming a hub for food, energy, and water security, it must quickly move from vision to execution. The challenges are legal, structural, and political. Bridging the gap between what is said and what is done will define the legacy of this administration, not only in climate diplomacy, but in the real lives of its citizens.


K&Co - September 23, 2025

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